Baseball

Whit Merrifield Deal Expected This Weekend

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It’s been a quiet offseason for three-time All-Star Whit Merrifield in his first trip through free agency, but the 35-year-old has been in contact with as many as five teams recently and expects to make a decision by the end of the weekend, MLB Network’s Jon Morosi reports.

Merrifield has twice led the American League in hits and has also paced the league in stolen bases on three different occasions. He’s coming off an uneven year at the plate, having enjoyed an excellent four-month stretch to begin 2023 before a sluggish two-month finish weighed down his end-of-season numbers.

Merrifield batted .272/.318/.382 overall, with 11 home runs, 27 doubles and 26 steals, but his production looked far more impressive before the calendar flipped to August. As of July 31, Merrifield boasted a robust .303/.351/.430 slash (118 wRC+). Over the final two months of the season, though, he fell into perhaps the most prolonged slump of his career, hitting just .212/.250/.288 in his final 196 trips to the plate for the Blue Jays.

That downturn at the plate, paired with his age, has likely tempered some of Merrifield’s earning power. On the one hand, he had some poor fortune on balls in play down the stretch, evidenced by a .247 BABIP that’s nowhere near his career mark of .321 or the .347 mark he posted through the season’s first four months. On the other, chalking the slump up to “bad luck” wouldn’t be accurate.

Merrifield’s already-low 85.4 mph average exit velocity and 26% hard-hit rate dipped to 83.4 mph and 20.4% from August onward. He didn’t see a marked uptick in strikeouts but did hit nine hapless infield flies over those final 196 trips to the dish after hitting just six such balls throughout the season’s first four months. More than a quarter of Merrifield’s batted balls from Opening Day through the end of July were line drives; over the final two months of the season, his line-drive rate was just 15.2%.

That tough finish to the season derailed what was shaping up to be a bounceback season for Merrifield. He’d still been a productive player in the 2021-22 seasons, but his offensive output had fallen off from his 2017-20 peak, when he batted a combined .297/.345/.452 (111 wRC+). Instead, his 2023 output wound up closely in line with the .265/.309/.386 slash he posted in 2021-22.

Beyond Merrifield’s lengthy track record of piling up hits and stolen bases, his defensive versatility has long been an appealing aspect of his game. He’s spent more time at second base than any other position, but Merrifield also has 2775 career innings in the outfield (where he’s played all three slots) in addition to briefer looks at first base (97 innings) and third base (31 innings).

With the Jays in 2023, Merrifield evenly split time between second base (595 innings) and left field (594) in addition to a handful of innings in right field (37). Defensive Runs Saved pegged him as a plus-plus defender at second base as recently as 2021 but has given him negative grades in each of the past two seasons. Statcast’s Outs Above Average metric remains bullish and has pegged him as an above-average second baseman in each of the past four seasons, including a +4 mark in ’23. Defensive metrics tend to agree that while Merrifield had some solid defensive showings in the outfield earlier in his career, he was below-average last season (-4 DRS and OAA alike).

That versatility is undoubtedly still part of Merrifield’s appeal, though he spoke earlier this offseason about the pros and cons of moving around the diamond as much as he has. Back at the Winter Meetings, Merrifield sat down with Matt Vasgersian and Harold Reynolds on MLB Network’s Hot Stove to discuss free agency and his versatility (video link).

“I’ve said for a long time now — second base, I feel, is my best position,” Merrifield explained in early December. “When I get to play second base every day, I feel defensively I’m as good as anybody, when I can stay there and play sharp. But I know there’s value to being able to bounce around now, especially in today’s game. The versatility aspect of it is big, but then again … when you start talking about a player’s value, when you bounce around, you’re just not as sharp in certain areas. … There’s give and take. I can bounce around, but I can also be a pretty good second baseman.”

Those comments speak to a preference for second base, but Merrifield has also emphasized that he’s open to playing anywhere and recognizes how that willingness can benefit him in the free agent process. There aren’t many clubs at this stage of the offseason with a glaring hole at second base specifically — the White Sox, Brewers and Pirates could all potentially use help there, speculatively speaking — but the majority of contenders could easily fit a hitter with Merrifield’s track record into that familiar second base/outfield hybrid role in which he’s excelled in recent seasons.

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