American Football

2024 Los Angeles Rams fantasy football preview

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Rams OTA.
Robert Gauthier/Los Angeles Times via Getty Images

Previewing the 2024 Rams offense in fantasy football

The Los Angeles Rams are one of the more intriguing offenses in fantasy football for the 2024 season. Head coach Sean McVay will be looking to expand on the gap run-scheme that he introduced last season with a lot of success. Puka Nacua is valued as a top-10 receiver, but Cooper Kupp will hopefully have a healthy season and return to form. Meanwhile, despite Kyren Williams finished as the RB2 in fantasy points per game, the Rams drafted Blake Corum in the third round. Here’s a fantasy preview of the Rams offense.

*Note: Position Rankings and ADPs taken from Fantasy Pros using PPR scoring

Passing Game Outlook

QB: Matthew Stafford (QB19, ADP 120)

Stafford may not hit 2021 numbers again in which he was the QB5 in fantasy football. At the end of the day, he remains a solid QB2 and a great option in a two quarterback league. He doesn’t bring the rushing upside that other top quarterbacks get, but in one of the most productive offenses in the NFL, he’s going to produce.

Last season, Stafford finished as the QB15 and a drop-off to QB19 below Kirk Cousins and Trevor Lawrence seems a little steep. With the Rams potentially moving to a more run-focused offense, Stafford may not hit 35+ touchdowns but his 24 touchdowns of 2023 seems like the floor for the Rams quarterback. Even with just 24 touchdowns last year, his 4.6 percent touchdown percentage was right in line with CJ Stroud and actually higher than Patrick Mahomes, Justin Herbert, and Jalen Hurts. As the QB19, Stafford gives some value if waiting on quarterback is the strategy.

WR: Puka Nacua (WR7, ADP 10), Cooper Kupp (WR22, ADP 41), Demarcus Robinson (WR79, ADP 205)

At wide receiver is where things get interesting for the Rams, especially in the conversation of Puka Nacua and Cooper Kupp. Right now, Nacua is being drafted as the WR7. This isn’t to say that Nacua isn’t a great player with a lot of upside, but that is very steep value. From Weeks 6-18 with Kupp in the lineup, Nacua was the WR7 and WR13 in fantasy points per game. That WR7 value feels like more of a ceiling than a floor.

With a healthy offseason that should lead to Kupp and Stafford being on the same page more often, that lowers Nacua’s value. A comparison to 2020 seems like a fair one. In that season, Robert Woods finished as the WR13 while Kupp was the WR34. It’s very possible that we see a top-5 season from one and WR20+ season from another which was the case in 2019. However, if Stafford finished around 550 passing attempts, it will be difficult for that to produce a top-5 AND top-25 receiver. Kupp and Nacua finishing with relatively similar numbers seems more likely. That makes it a guessing game on who is the top option in the offense. Kupp’s WR22 value makes him the preferred option.

TE: Colby Parkinson (TE38, ADP 263)

The best value for the Rams offense may be at tight end. It’s hard to know what this position will look like once Tyler Higbee returns. Higbee is clearly a player that the Rams value, but how he returns from a major knee injury is to be determined. Meanwhile, the Rams spent big in free agency on Colby Parkinson.

This is a case where we’ll follow the money. Parkinson was under-utilized in Seattle. Parkinson may be the perfect tight end for McVay’s offense. In 2022 among tight ends with at least 25 targets, Parkinson ranked ninth in yards after the catch per reception and his 1.56 yards per route was 11th. Parkinson may not be a top-10 tight end, but as a late-round flier as the TE38 or a streaming option? Yes please.

Running Game Outlook

Offensive Line

The running back position is heavily dependent on those blocking in front of him. Without good blocking, it’s tough for any running back to produce. Thankfully, for the Rams running backs they’ll have one of the best run-blocking offensive lines in the NFL. Heading into the season, the Rams starting five will be the third-largest offensive line in the NFL. The interior three by themselves consist of nearly 1,000 pounds. This is a group that’s going to get physical.

Last season, Kevin Dotson was already one of the best run-blocking guards. Move Steve Avila over to center and add Jonah Jackson to the equation, and this is a fun group. According to FTN, the Rams ranked fifth in the NFL in adjusted line yards in 2023. Adjusted line yards akes all running back carries and assigns responsibility to the offensive line. They were among the top-5 last year and got better. Expect this group to compete with the Detroit Lions as the best run-blocking offensive line in the NFL.

RB: Kyren Williams (RB8, ADP 18), RB: Blake Corum (RB37, ADP 116)

This is a position that many in the fantasy football community will be debating all summer. There are a few points to make here. For starters, while it is possible that Blake Corum has a role in the offense, the Rams under McVay have never consistently used a two running back system. When McVay likes a running back, he tends to stick with that player. With that being said, Williams is that player. While he missed OTAs and was held out for precautionary reasons, he’s still going to have a big role in the offense.

Williams had the fifth-most rushing attempts in the red zone in 2023 and was one of the more efficient running backs inside the 20. Even with touchdown regression, if you take away five touchdowns for Williams last year, he’s still the RB2 on a points per game basis in PPR. Taking in Corum. Take away five touchdowns and 200 yards, and he’s still right there with Breece Hall as the RB6 in points per game.

Corum is certainly a player worth grabbing late in the draft as a handcuff. If he ends up with a David Montgomery-like role, he could end up being a steal. In the case that he does take over for Williams due to injury, it could be a league-winning move. However, it’s unlikely that this is a 50-50 split or even 60-40. At best, it’s a 65-35 split and more likely closer to 70-30. Williams remains a key piece of the Rams offense and McVay understands that.

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